Bolsonaro, Lula about even in polls for Brazil runoff vote
Polls show Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula nearly tied ahead of Brazil’s runoff, with Bolsonaro slightly favored after finishing ahead in the first round.
Oct 25, 2026, 07:10 AM
SAO PAULO, Oct 24 - A series of polls on Saturday showed Senator Flavio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva about even before Sunday's runoff vote, with the right-wing lawmaker still favored to win after finishing ahead of the leftist incumbent in the first round.
CNT/MDA POLL
• Runoff: Bolsonaro 46.3%, Lula 45.0%
• MDA surveyed 2,032 people from October 21 to October 23; margin of error of 2.2 percentage points
DATAFOLHA
• Runoff: Bolsonaro 48%, Lula 47%
• Datafolha surveyed 4,050 people from October 23-24; margin of error of 2 percentage points
QUAEST POLL
• Runoff: Bolsonaro 46%, Lula 45%
• Quaest surveyed 3,702 people from October 23-24; margin of error of 2 percentage points
ATLASINTEL/BLOOMBERG POLL
• Runoff: Bolsonaro 49.9%, Lula 48.4%
• AtlasIntel surveyed 4,990 people from October 18 to October 23; margin of error of 1 percentage point
BTG/NEXUS
• Runoff: Bolsonaro 47.0%, Lula 46.0%
• Nexus surveyed 2,000 people from October 23-24; margin of error of 2.2 percentage points REUTERS
Source: The Straits Times https://www.straitstimes.com/world/bolsonaro-lula-about-even-in-polls-for-brazil-runoff-vote
